New Zealand is one of the few countries that seem to have got a control
over the recent covid19 outbreak.
\cite{james_suppression_nodate} Here we present the incidence of Coronavirus
in New Zealand and some predictions as to how and when we can expect to
get to a point of zero incident cases in NZ. We used the
incidence
package within R statistical software to create incidence objects
\cite{Kamvar_2019} from data obtained from the
JHU CSSE covid19 archives, and use the graphs to obtain these estimates. We used a realistic estimate of R0 2.4 for the first four weeks of the projected numbers and a series of effect reproductive numbers of 0.70 and 0.90 for the downward trend
\cite{dietz_estimation_1993}.