Coronavirus predictions in NZ and others

New Zealand is one of the few countries that seem to have got a control over the recent covid19 outbreak.\cite{james_suppression_nodate} Here we present the incidence of Coronavirus in New Zealand and some predictions as to how and when we can expect to get to a point of zero incident cases in NZ. We used the  incidence  package within R statistical software to create incidence objects\cite{Kamvar_2019}  from data obtained from the JHU CSSE covid19 archives, and use  the graphs to obtain these estimates. We used a realistic estimate of R0 2.4 for the first four weeks of the projected numbers and a series of effect reproductive numbers of 0.70 and 0.90 for the downward trend \cite{dietz_estimation_1993}.